In Sunday’s recreation that pits the San Francisco 49ers up towards the Miami Dolphins, accidents will dictate the success of the 49ers, whereas the Dolphins want to put their loss by the hands of the Seattle Seahawks behind them in a tricky battle on the highway.
For this recreation, the road rightfully slides to favoring the Niners, recognizing the house staff 9 factors with no hook, giving San Francisco a ton of confidence, even with their staff nonetheless working itself again to being at full well being.
Quarterback Jimmy Garappolo has been given the OK to start out on Sunday, in response to head coach Kyle Shanahan, and he hopes to additionally welcome again beginning working again Raheem Mostert, who went out in the identical recreation towards the New York Jets on the questionable MetLife Stadium subject.
For this recreation, check out 4 of the principle storylines to comply with on this recreation and see how every has a daring outlook connected to them.
San Francisco 49ers throw lower than 20 occasions – and win by 20
Holding a 50.5 over/underneath doesn’t contribute to Vegas having a ton of religion in both staff placing up over 20 factors, one thing that the 49ers shouldn’t have a ton of hassle doing, particularly in the event that they go to their working recreation early and infrequently.
With working Garappolo again into recreation form, protecting him wholesome goes to be the important thing to their season, and he excels as a recreation supervisor greater than as a gunslinger, so giving him some simple throws to assist construct up timing with the likes of George Kittle, Deebo Samuel (if he overcomes his non-COVID illness), and others.
With Mostert trending in the precise course to taking part in, the 49ers would have Mostert, Jerick McKinnon, and Jeff Wilson Jr. as their backs for the sport, as Tevin Coleman remains to be out nursing an harm. With McKinnon injury-prone and Mostert getting again on his toes, there’ll most certainly be a carry distribution between the three backs that makes this backfield arduous to have a lone, standout fantasy possibility.
Mostert tasks to be an RB2/RB3/FLEX possibility this week, holding the next upside than McKinnon because of him being the presumed starter. McKinnon will be performed as a FLEX possibility this week, as he ought to have a secure flooring incomes carries in a backup/fill-in position alongside Mostert.
all of those choices, placing Jimmy G in handy the ball off 25+ occasions within the recreation is precisely the recipe to get him again into recreation form, and it’ll additionally assist maintain Kittle, Samuel, and their RB secure wholesome, whereas getting them their reps. The Dolphins are a way more formidable squad than final season, however Ryan Fitzpatrick is just biding his time because the holdover starter till Tua Tagovoiloa is deemed prepared, one thing that must be coming quickly.
Miami seems to be to be of their common AFC East cellar position, which ought to make this recreation flip right into a lopsided defeat early on.
Mostert places up 100+ complete yards on lower than 15 touches
Week 1 – 151 complete yards, 2 touchdowns (1 on the bottom, 1 by the air)
Week 2 – 107 complete yards, 1 TD (dashing)
One thing that held true for each of the primary two weeks of this season for Mostert, earlier than he bought damage? He did substantial harm with out getting greater than 19 touches. And within the Week 2 affair towards the Jets, all Mostert wanted (earlier than leaving with an harm) was eight carries and two receptions to rack up an impactful displaying.
Mostert’s snap depend will likely be closely monitored as he makes his restoration from a knee harm, and the Dolphins, who boast a protection that’s tied for 11th-best within the NFL (in response to Professional Soccer Focus) by way of factors allowed (96), are usually not a porous unit, however actually have their weaknesses.
Even when the Dolphins resolve to push their chips to the center of the desk and hunker right down to attempt to shut down the working assault, the San Francisco 49ers have a volatile-enough scheme that they are going to nonetheless hit arduous and achieve success on the bottom, controlling the clock and utilizing their sturdy offensive line to maneuver the ball down the sector.
Shanahan is aware of what he’s doing, and whereas Mostert just isn’t at 100 p.c fairly but, he will likely be utilized in an environment friendly approach, hopefully in a approach that helps maximize his fantasy worth.
Fitzpatrick lastly will get on the identical web page with Gesicki
Tight finish Mike Gesicki got here into the yr as one of many hottest decisions for a breakout season amongst fantasy trade specialists, one thing that surprisingly sufficient didn’t find yourself driving up his worth throughout the redraft interval. However to this point by the season, the 11th-best TE in fantasy (in response to ESPN rankings) has struggled to place collectively a constant stretch of video games.
Recording video games of three, eight, one, and one catches every, Gesicki and QB Ryan Fitzpatrick haven’t been on the identical wavelength, exterior of the Week 2 matchup towards the Buffalo Payments, the place he burned that secondary for an 8/130/1 line.
The 49ers secondary has but to permit a TD reception to a decent finish and has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy factors to that place as effectively, placing up a ton of roadblocks for Gesicki to wrestle but once more.
However, the previous Penn State Nittany Lion is primed to have his second breakout recreation this yr, and it will be a great state of affairs for it to occur in, particularly with how banged up the Niners secondary is.
Odds are that the Dolphins will likely be behind early and infrequently within the recreation, so throwing the ball will bode will alter the sport plan, one thing that clearly performs effectively into getting Gesicki a gradual weight loss program of targets. Whereas 10 targets are usually not out of the query, Gesicki ought to not less than be capable of produce a TE10 efficiency (or higher) and hopefully put his one-catch video games behind.
DeVante Parker leads all non-QBs in yardage – from each side
Huge receiver DeVante Parker is the clear-cut WR1 for this staff, and his reference to Fitzpatrick has made that fairly apparent, as he has produced prime 25 WR stats to this point this season.
Even with having solely hauled in a single landing so far, Parker instructions the opposing prime nook frequently, showcasing that the fifth-year participant out of Louisville has lastly put the whole lot collectively, particularly after his 72/1,202/9 breakout season final yr.
With the Niners dealing with a severe depletion of their defensive backfield, Parker is not going to be commanding Richard Sherman, Okay’Waun Wiliams, Emmanuel Moseley, or Dontae Johnson in Sunday’s recreation, as they’re all cornerbacks which were dominated out. CB Akhello Witherspoon is at present questionable, as he’s coping with a hamstring harm – if Witherspoon would swimsuit up, it will be as much as him and Jason Verrett to secondary, alongside safeties Tarvarius Moore and Jaquiski Tartt.
That’s a particularly lengthy checklist of non-top choices for the San Francisco 49ers, that means that Parker may have an absolute subject day in a recreation that appears just like the Dolphins will likely be throwing early and infrequently, giving him a great probability at establishing a extremely strong flooring early on within the recreation.